Rainman: Patriots overvalued afterwards assault an overrated and bromidic Miami team. This is too abounding credibility to be giving Andrew Luck, who is consistently befitting Colts aggressive adjoin advantaged teams.
Matthew Jordan: I don’t like this d at a advance of -10, and in Capper Corner I recommended affairs up to 10.5 and demography Indy. Will Rob Gronkowski play? How about the Colts’ T.Y. Hilton?
Kevin Stott: Pats are 9-3 SU on Thursdays, 4-1 ATS L5 vs Colts and 19-8-3 ATS L30 as Home Favorites. With Dorsett absent to account and Uncle Bill mad about accident to one of his disciples, abetment NE.
Swinging Johnson: Pats assuredly looked like their old selves aftermost anniversary in a annihilation of the Fish while the Colts handed out an aboriginal Christmas allowance to the Texans. Two teams affective in adverse directions.
Doug Upstone: Don’t be afraid if New England comes out active afresh like aftermost contest, abnormally adjoin the Colts 29th ranked run defense. Indy is 0-6 ATS afterwards accepting 400 or yards of offense.
Kevin Stott: Bills accept a QB in Allen but area are the toys? The Titans are 4-1 ATS L5 in alternation and Mariota has some toys in RBs Henry, Lewis and Receivers Taywan Taylor and Corey Davis.
Rainman: The Titans aloof accomplished a abominable affecting agitated adjoin the arresting champs. I apperceive it’s the Bills, but it’s not like they’re erfingers of acceptable — see Bills vs Vikings. This one screams letdown.
Swinging Johnson: As abundant as it pains me to aback the Bills I accept to anticipate they’re accepting the Titans at the appropriate time afterwards Tennessee’s huge win over the arresting apple champs. Can you say allurement game?
Doug Upstone: It would assume Tennessee’s aegis would accept no botheration administration the Buffalo’s bloodless offense. But this a collapsed atom for the Titans afterwards two AFC South battles and adverse Philadelphia.
Matthew Jordan: Not decidedly admiring this game, either. Bills should be abundant bigger at home than they were Sunday in Green Bay. The Titans assume like a 3-1 artifice as they could calmly be 0-4.
Kevin Stott: Clashing Trends with Cincy 7-0 ATS L7 vs AFC, Tannehill 11-2 SU L13 as Starter. Abhorrence this added than Best of Nickelback, Volume 1. Go with Fish as Bangles NFL-worst 40-66 ATS in October.
Doug Upstone: Miami was due for a auto and faced Pats at the amiss time. The Dolphins accept continued been a solid bet as a non-division alley underdog. The SU champ in Fins/Bengals d is 8-0 ATS this year.
Rainman: Don’t overreact to bromidic accomplishment adjoin pissed off Pats. Cincy is pass-first and Fins’ bigger accessory (second in opp. QB rating) will accumulate it close. Added Drake on O will advice TOP.
Matthew Jordan: This is apparently my top aces of the week. The Dolphins were absolutely apparent in Sunday’s bang accident in New England. The Bengals get aback top LB Vontaze Burfict off suspension.
Swinging Johnson: The alone activity these two clubs accept in accepted is their 3-1 almanac because the Bengals are battlefront on all cylinders offensively while the Dolphins were aloof apparent abhorrent aftermost week.
Matthew Jordan: If this were over 3, I’d booty Browns, who should be 4-0. I anguish about Ravens off big win in Pittsburgh, but they can win by 3 (buy band bottomward to -2.5) and additionally get top CB Jimmy Smith off suspension.
Doug Upstone: Never anticipation the advance on Ravens/Browns would be this low. This absolutely a amount of abetment one aggregation (Baltimore) that knows how to win adjoin one that is still acquirements (Cleveland).
Kevin Stott: Bang bang buzz fizz, oh what a abatement it is. The Browns ( 9 TO, #1) assuredly won and assuredly accept a QB but with 1 Win in 35? Ravens 13-4 ATS L17 vs AFC North, 5-0 ATS L5 vs CLE, 4-0 ATS L4 in Cleveland.
Swinging Johnson: Baltimore had a big win over the Steelers aftermost anniversary which should achieve us alert that this is ambience up as a allurement d for them this week. But it’s Cleveland so we’re not.
Rainman: I get that Baltimore’s aegis is superb, but so is Cleveland’s. Baltimore is pass-first and Cleveland ranks 5th in opposing QB rating. Ogbah and Kirksey are advantageous again. Bold will be tight.
Kevin Stott: Starr begat Favre and Favre begat Rodgers and Rodgers (38-19 ATS vs NFC North) and Adams gonna be gatting a agglomeration of yards casual in Motown vs. Stafford (19-26 ATS vs NFC North).
Swinging Johnson: The oddsmakers say this is a bread cast and so do I but the Lions accept no aegis and they’re arena adjoin one of the greatest in Rodgers. Packers win their aboriginal on the highway.
Rainman: Tempting to auto-bet Rodgers, but he can’t comedy aegis as well. Packers’ accessory is dinged up with abundant injures and Detroit has the weapons to booty advantage — Stafford, Tate and Golladay.
Doug Upstone: The Packers abridgement the active d to absolutely accomplishment Detroit’s capital arresting weakness. Green Bay is additionally in a abrogating 6-26 ATS system. The Lions are already afresh atrocious for a achievement at home.
Matthew Jordan: Detroit swept the 2017 analysis series, but Aaron Rodgers absent both games. Green Bay’s breach doesn’t assume to be exhausted appropriate now. Lions win by a backward Matt Prater acreage goal.
Rainman: Chiefs’ run D is bottomless and injury-ridden (Ford and Berry) and the Jags like to run and ascendancy tempo. Jags’ D is elite, led by two top corners and d-line. This will be Mahomes’ toughest test.
Doug Upstone: This alternative has aggregate to do with the advance actuality at 3 or 3.5. No catechism Jacksonville will appear appropriate at the Kansas City aegis with the run and the Jaguars can comedy defense.
Matthew Jordan: Marquee antagonism alert! Abbreviate anniversary for Kansas City and the Broncos showed how to at atomic apathetic bottomward that offense. Jaguars accept been abundantly bigger on alley than home of late.
Swinging Johnson: Young Patrick did it afresh and anesthetized for over 300 yards in the Chiefs win in Denver but if he anticipation that aegis was boxy – get a amount of the Jags. Cats bald their fangs at Arrowhead.
Kevin Stott: Pat Mahomes (90.7 QBR, #1) is the absolute accord and the Chiefs are 4-1 ATS L5 vs. the Jags. With KC ( 1 TO) consistently so acceptable at Net TO’s (#2 2017, #1 2016, #2 2015), may be alpha of article good.
Swinging Johnson: New York’s Anniversary 1 ascendancy of Lions seems like a actor years ago as the Jets breach has been ashore and now amateur Darnold charge accommodated Von Miller and Co. It won’t be pretty.
Rainman: Broncos await on their blitz advance because Keenum isn’t good. They’ll face a abundant stiffer analysis from New York’s d-line. The Jets rank 7th in opposing YPC. Broncos not the aforementioned abroad from Denver.
Doug Upstone: Denver expended a lot of activity Monday and has to biking on a abbreviate week. Let’s not balloon the Broncos are 1-8 ATS on the alley aback aftermost year. The Jets aces up their additional win of 2018.
Matthew Jordan: Denver on a abbreviate anniversary and acceptable to be abandoned afterwards alarming that advance in accident to Chiefs. Broncos 1-10 ATS in their aftermost 11 amateur on the road. Jets 7-3 ATS in aftermost 10 amateur at home.
Kevin Stott: The Broncos accept been abominable on the Alley at the action windows (1-10 ATS L11), averaging a paltry 14.6 ppg the L5 Alley amateur and accept to biking 1,771 afar and lose 2 Time Zones here.
Swinging Johnson: I’ve been crumbling the Steelers all analysis continued so why stop now? Matty Ice will cook the Pitt D like adulate in a bang boiler as the Dirty Birds accept denticulate over 30 in their aftermost 3 games.
Rainman: Falcons’ aegis is absolutely adversity from its injuries at linebacker and safety. Pittsburgh O will accordingly animation aback adjoin abundant easier test. Steelers 4-0 ATS aback 2017 afterwards SU loss.
Doug Upstone: It would abiding assume the also-ran in Falcons at Steelers is in absolute trouble. The bearings favors Pitt, who is 15-3 ATS in home amateur off an agitated accident to a analysis battling as a favorite.
Matthew Jordan: It will be an agitated if this isn’t the highest-scoring d of the anniversary as both defenses are accepting above problems. With one achievement each, both comedy atrocious but I’ll go home side.
Kevin Stott: Old gunslingers Ryan and Roethlisberger accommodated at Ketchup Palace and with Brown and the Black and Yellow el NFL’s mejor Octubre equipo ATS el L10 años (66-39, 62.9%), amazon Gran Ben.
Rainman: I admired how New York’s aegis looked vs. New Orleans and that was w/o Apple and Vernon, who absolute able-bodied could return. Carolina run D ranks low in opposing YPC, so Saquon should accept big day.
Matthew Jordan: If Bengals are my top choice, Carolina is apparently No. 2. The Panthers appear off the bye anniversary and accept covered six of their accomplished seven at home. Accept you apparent that Giants offense?
Swinging Johnson: Carolina has had 2 weeks to adapt … for what? Oh, appropriate the aggregation with a 2X SB QB, the best wideout in the NFL, and a amateur active aback drafted No. 2 all-embracing and they still can’t score.
Doug Upstone: Simply stated, the New York Giants abhorrent band is not acceptable abundant to apathetic the Carolina run aegis or canyon rush. The Panthers are beginning and accessible off a bye anniversary and exhausted Big Blue by 13.
Kevin Stott: Remember that [You Had A] “Bad Day”song? I abhorrence this d added than that. No admiration books consistently win on NFL, area desultory bursts of absolute comedy arrest barrages of commercials.
Rainman: Aegis is alternative in this one, although the animosity agency could accord us a tighter affair. Historically, this has generally been a afterpiece match-up and I don’t see abundant amid either team.
Doug Upstone: The Chargers are the bigger all-embracing team. Admitting this, they are still 1-3 ATS and attending vulnerable. If Oakland can attempt for four quarters, they can breach in the challenge and win outright.
Matthew Jordan: The Bolts about broke some Survivor Pools on Sunday in a aing win over the 49ers. L.A.’s aegis is a botheration until Joey Bosa returns. Oakland is 1-4 ATS in accomplished bristles in series.
Swinging Johnson: The Bolts exhausted the Raiders alert aftermost analysis and it will appear again. Don’t let Oakland’s abrasive win over the Browns aftermost anniversary fool you, they’re still a awful team. Lay it and like it.
Kevin Stott: Gruden Era got off to a Silver, Black & Blue alpha and with Old Man Rivers (16-8 SU, 41 TD, 18 INT) so acceptable vs Raiders (-4 TO, T-#32), abetment SD who has to anguish about what the Chefs are cooking.
Doug Upstone: Aftermost season’s NFC appellation rematch finds two scuffling squads. Minnesota’s aegis prevented win at the Rams, but the Eagles attending like a aggregation with aboriginal analysis Super Bowl hangover. The Vikes win.
Rainman: Minnesota’s acclaimed aegis has looked like a blend the accomplished few weeks while the Eagles’ breach is accepting guys convalescent and should accumulate jelling. Wentz and Jeffery already looked abundant together.
Swinging Johnson: Wentz hasn’t absolutely close yet with his breach but the Vikings are shell-shocked branch into this one afterwards a beauteous accident to the Bills and again bane adjoin a advance by the Rams.
Matthew Jordan: I wrote a abstracted examination of this one and like the Eagles but at 2.5 credibility instead of 3. The Vikings can’t run the brawl (Dalvin Cook isn’t healthy) or stop anyone suddenly.
Kevin Stott: With Wentz 11-2 in his L13 starts and Vikings acceptance arrangement shell-shocked afterwards accident at Home to the Bills, Philly should win by double-digits with appropriate jockey aback in the saddle.
Rainman: Amateur Rosen’s aboriginal alley game. Beathard looked competent and the 49ers were decidedly able admitting injuries. Arizona’s O still looks pedestrian, has yet to account added than 17 points.
Swinging Johnson: Niners looked appealing acceptable in defeat adjoin the Chargers aftermost anniversary admitting the absence of Sweet Jimmy G. Cards are winless because credibility amount so aback the home book here.
Doug Upstone: The Arizona breach did not attending any bigger with Rosen and they absent addition winnable home game. San Fran about exhausted the Bolts. The Cards appear in 0-7 ATS off two losses by 3-points or less.
Matthew Jordan: Yuck d of day as Josh Rosen and C.J. Beathard “duel.” Guess I adopt Beathard (for now) over the rook. Arizona is acutely the NFC’s affliction aggregation and the alone winless one in the NFL.
Kevin Stott: Arizona’s (9.3 ppg, #32) apprehensive if they achieve acclaim cards with credibility while Beathard’s apprehensive if this is a dream. Credibility will be deficient and abhorrence to accept to aces a champ here. What? I do?
Rainman: Rams still attending unbeatable. Its breach will advance out the aegis and actualize so abundant amplitude for its assorted receivers or Gurley. Seahawks will absence key allotment Earl Thomas in the secondary.
Swinging Johnson: I abhorrence laying credibility on the alley but the Seahawks accept yet to face an breach like the juggernaut comin’ like a bales alternation from LA, abnormally now that Earl Thomas is out.
Matthew Jordan: Don’t absolutely like giving all these credibility on the road, but the Rams are on added blow and the Seahawks are acceptable activity to be collapsed off accident arresting baton Earl Thomas for year.
Doug Upstone: Grabbing a bench on Rams Express. Before abetment a Rams opponent, charge to see article a bottom aggregation can achieve vs. all this talent. L.A. is 18-7 ATS abroad afterwards scoring 35 or more.
Kevin Stott: Seahawks (40-63 ATS October L10 years) begin bare aplomb assault Dallas but Rams (34.0 ppg, #2) are focused and 12th Man may charge a 13th or 14th with Cooks, Woods and Kupp.
Kevin Stott: Beneath has to be the Totals attending in this Governor’s Cup, and with the Texans 1-5 SU arena beneath the SNF lights, a alarming 1-3 SU/ATS this analysis and 3-10 ATS their L13, saddle up?
Swinging Johnson: New attending breach for the Boyz with Zeke now complex in the casual advance which agency added options for Prescott. Oh, and Dallas is 7-1 ATS in Weeks 5-9 over the antecedent two seasons.
Doug Upstone: The Cowboys active d is starting to agitate and they are 8-1 ATS afterwards accepting 150 or added hasty yards in two beeline games. Plus, Dallas is 6-0 ATS vs. foes acceptance 375 or yards a game.
Rainman: Dallas has been banal away, scoring 21 credibility in two alley games. Houston has the linebacker affection to stop Elliot. Dallas canyon D vulnerable, so Watson, Fuller, and Hopkins will excel.
Matthew Jordan: Two teams with abundant added aptitude than their records. Dallas has been awful offensively (21 points) in activity 0-2 on the road. Houston adored its analysis Sunday by assault Colts.
Rainman: Skins accept a able accessory led by Josh Norman that ranks third in opposing passer rating. He’ll absolute Brees and Thomas. Saints D that accustomed 40 credibility in two altered amateur is still unreliable.
Kevin Stott: Both accept nice starts, but Cool Brees, Thomas and the Who Dats charge to booty bigger affliction of the football (-3 TO, T-28). Alternation Trends favor Redskins, 6-0 ATS L6 and 5-0 ATS L5 on Bourbon Street.
Matthew Jordan: New Orleans gets aback RB Mark Ingram from suspension, and Drew Brees should breach Peyton Manning’s career casual yardage mark. Redskins are 2-8 ATS aftermost 10 out of bye.
Swinging Johnson: The Redskins admonish me of my Uncle Bob – schizophrenic. How can any NFL aggregation account 9 credibility adjoin the Colts? One activity we do apperceive is that the Saints can and do account every time out.
Doug Upstone: While the Washington Redskins are 5-1 adjoin the advance at New Orleans, they are additionally 10-22 ATS on Monday night’s and the Saints are on a 7-0 ATS October run. The home aggregation wins by 10.
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